By / 14th December, 2017 / Cricket, Tests / 3 Comments

Wincing he may be, but JR’s predictions are going to just keep coming.

No more scoring…

…of my rat-bag predictions – it hurts.

But don’t write the Poms off just yet. Few people are giving them any chance in Perth… I’m not so sure.

It’s 10 years (shy of a 6 weeks or so) since Chris made his test debut – at the WACA. Australia then brought in Shaun Tait to make a 4-man pace attack (just like it seems Aus is doing now with Mitch Marsh). And all four appeared toothless on a very flat WACA track.  Then India’s medium-pacers bowled and Aus were all at sea – Ponting in particular to Ishant Sharma – and India won easily – on the WACA!

Steve Smith’s most telling comment, in his Adelaide post-match interview, was the ‘choice of the ball’.

“Luck,” he said, was whether each side picked a ball that swung, or one that was gun-barrel straight.

As I saw it, the Poms picked a ‘gun-barrel-straight’ ball when they won the toss.

To me – Anderson – England’s leading wicket-taker of all-time, kept hoping the ball would swing, and when it didn’t, it became easy pickings for the batsmen. And an hour was lost for rain, so that on day 1, with ten overs available with a new ball under lights – danger time for batsmen – they got just one. Again though, they’d picked a non-swinging ball, and Paine & Shaun Marsh took the game away from England the next morning.

When England did pick a ball that swung – in the second innings – Anderson got England back into the match, but party-pooper Hazlewood also had a ball with movement and snuffed out any chance on the final morning.

So far, Starc, Hazlewood and Cummins have done much better than I expected, and with Lyon doing as well as Shane Warne used to do, the Aussie attack looks far better than England’s. But it could change! Remembering 10 years ago as above, and the prediction the pitch will be flat, I’m sticking my neck out even further and predicting England will win.



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